Population Change
- Wikipedia:
For Wikipedia references, see the Glossary.
- Books
- Key Videos
- Most Important Videos (YouTube playlist)
- World Statistics
- Worldwide Overview -
video playlist
- Wall Street Journal (paywall): How Demographics Rule the Global Economy: The developed world’s workforce will start to decline, threatening future global growth, 22 Nov 2015 - video interview with author
- Bloomberg: The Population Bomb Has Been Defused: The Earth and humanity will survive as fertility rates fall almost everywhere, 16 Mar 2018
- Forbes: Demography: The Basis of Power and Prosperity, 26 Jan 2017
- The Economist: Thanks to education, global fertility could fall faster than expected:
The world’s population in 2100 could be no higher than it is today, 31 Jan 2019
- BBC: 'Remarkable' decline in fertility rates, 9 Nov 2018
- Scientific American: Ratio of Workers to Retirees Will Plummet Worldwide, 18 Nov 2014
- The Week: Why global fertility is in decline: New report warns that countries worldwide are facing a ‘baby bust’, 9 Nov 2018
- Marketplace: Why declining birth rates are a phenomenon in developing countries, 25 Jan 2019
- YaleGlobal: Fertility Declines Worldwide, 12 July 2018 - Includes links to many other articles.
- Countries
- Japan -
video playlist
· Twitter
· Instagram
- Washington Post: Opinion: The demographic time bomb that could hit America, by Catherine Rampell, 31 Dec 2018 — In 2017, Japan had the fewest absolute births since records began in 1899.
- World Economic Forum: Japan's population is shrinking: What does it mean for the economy?, 26 Feb 2016
- CNN: Inside the Japanese town that pays cash for kids, 27 Dec 2018
- Fox News: Japan tries to curb its plummeting population, 24 Dec 2018
- The Economist: Japan tries to keep the elderly out of hospital: A greying society searches for ways to curb health-care costs, 10 Jan 2019
- The Economist: The challenges of Japan’s demography:
How does a country cope if more than half of new babies will be centenarians?, 26 Nov 2018
- Financial Tribune: Low Fertility, Ageing Threaten Japan’s Future, 24 Apr 2018
- Quartz: In Japan, almost 450,000 more people died than were born in 2018, 26 Dec 2018
- Kyodo News: Students with experience of dating at lowest on record in Japan, 22 Nov 2018
- BBC: Japan may loosen immigration rules for blue-collar workers, 2 Nov 2018
- Guardian: Yubari, Japan: a city learns how to die, 15 Aug 2014
- Newsweek: Single Women Are Letting the Country Down, Lawmaker Says, 11 May 2018
- Business Insider: Elderly people in Japan are getting arrested on purpose because they want to go to prison, 19 Mar 2018
- Washington Post: It’s official: Japan’s population is dramatically shrinking, 26 Feb 2016
- The Economist: How Japan’s prime minister plans to cope with daunting demography: The reforms he has in mind are not bold enough, 17 Nov 2018
- Contrarian - Japan Times: What's so good about Japan's demography?, 19 June 2018
- SBS Dateline (video): Japan's Baby Drain (17m), 9 Apr 2013
- China -
video playlist
· Twitter
· Instagram
- CNN: Study: China faces 'unstoppable' population decline by mid-century (7 Jan 2019)
- Reuters: China's population set to peak at 1.44 billion in 2029: government report, 5 Jan 2019
- New York Times: China’s Looming Crisis: A Shrinking Population, 17 Jan 2019
- BoingBoing: China's One Child Policy coming home to roost: old people, in big cities, frightened of the sky (4 Jan 2019)
- Quartz: China’s population could start shrinking in 8 years (4 Jan 2019)
- South China Morning Post: Worse than Japan: how China’s looming demographic crisis will doom its economic dream (4 Jan 2019)
- Newsweek: China's Population Is 'Degenerating Into a Small Group of the Old and the Weak,' Experts Say (2 Jan 2019)
- Epoch Times: China Will Grow Old Before It Grows Rich, 1 Feb 2019
- Newsweek: China Asks Women to ‘Have Children For the Country’ After Decades of Curbing Population, 26 Dec 2018
- Bloomberg: China to Abandon Population Target as Birth Policies Loosen, 24 Oct 2018
- Guardian: China’s 'loneliest generation': what it was like growing up under the one-child policy, 7 Dec 2015
- Time: China’s One-Child Policy: Curse of the ‘Little Emperors’, 10 Jan 2013
- Washington Post: Too Many Men: In China and India, men outnumber women by 70 million, 18 Apr 2018
- Bloomberg: What Happened to China’s Baby Bump?
Births are again trending down, despite the two-child policy, 13 Feb 2018
- Business Insider: China's working age population is starting to decline, which could have dire consequences for the second largest economy in the world, 4 Apr 2016
- Asia News: The Chinese economy will be halted by demography, not by the US, 5 Jan 2019
- United States -
video playlist
· Twitter
- Statistics
- CDC: USA Birth statistics for 2017 (pdf) — Fewest total births in 30 years: 3,855,500
- World Bank: USA Dependency Ratio, 1960-2017 (interactive chart) — The ratio of dependents to active workers. Dependents include children and people 65 and over.
- CDC via Washington Post: Fertility Rate by Urbanization Level (chart)
- Mental Floss: New Guidelines Redefine Birth Years for Millennials, Gen-X, and 'Post-Millennials', 1 Mar 2018
- The Silent Generation: Born 1928-1945 (73-90 years old),
Baby Boomers: Born 1946-1964 (54-72 years old),
Generation X: Born 1965-1980 (38-53 years old),
Millennials: Born 1981-1996 (22-37 years old),
Post-Millennials: Born 1997-Present (0-21 years old)
- Articles
- Washington Post: As U.S. fertility rates collapse, finger-pointing and blame follow: New data confirms historic declines across all races, in both urban and rural areas. (19 Oct 2018)
- The Economist: America’s fertility rate continues its deep decline - Wanted: policies that make it easier for mothers to work, 31 Oct 2018
- HealthLine: Here’s Why the Birth Rate Is So Low in the United States: Millennials are having children later and are having fewer of them, leading to the lowest birth rate since 1987, 22 Jan 2019
- Marketplace: Americans are having fewer babies, and it might have to do with the economy, 22 Jan 2019
- HuffPost: Everyone Is Missing A Key Reason The U.S. Birth Rate Is Declining: In the U.S., women are essentially punished for having kids., 27 May 2018
- Daily Mail: Fertility rate for white women plummets BELOW the limit needed to maintain the population in every single US state, 10 Jan 2019
- World Economic Forum: Marriages in the US are on the decline. Here's why, 20 Nov 2018 - partly due to America's high incarceration rate.
- Washington Post: The recession is long gone. Where are the babies? (opinion), 22 May 2018
- New York Times: U.S. Fertility Rate Fell to a Record Low, for a Second Straight Year, 17 May 2018
- The Conversation: US fertility is dropping. Here’s why some experts saw it coming, 30 May 2018
- Washington Post: In 25 years, there will be more old Americans than young ones, 18 May 2018
- New York Times: American Women Are Having Fewer Children Than They’d Like: Forecasts show many millennial women won’t fulfill their wishes on family size, and the biggest fertility declines are in Western states, 13 Feb 2018
- Forbes: Will The Fertility Rate Recover? Probably Not, A New Study Says, 26 Sep 2018
- Zero Hedge: America: The "Nursing Home" Economy, 31 Mar 2013 - "Older people get more money from the government. And they pay less in taxes. Old people also slow the rate of GDP, for obvious reasons: They are not adding to output; they are living on it."
- Romper: Women Ages 30 To 34 Are Having More Babies Than Younger Women & This Has Never Happened Before, 13 Feb 2019
- The Week: The great fertility reversion, 22 May 2018
- Notre Dame News: Fewer unintended pregnancies contribute to all-time low U.S. fertility rate, new research says, 5 Feb 2019
- Health Insider: The US is in the danger zone for a 'demographic time bomb,' and the high cost of childcare could be partially to blame, 11 Jan 2019
- Other Effects
- State by State
- video playlist
- Bahamas
- video playlist
- Botswana
- Brazil
- video playlist
- Bulgaria -
video playlist
- Canada -
video playlist
- Cuba
- video playlist
- Denmark -
video playlist (Scandinavia)
- Egypt
- video playlist
- Finland
- France -
video playlist
- Greece -
video playlist
- Germany 🇩🇪
- Hong Kong -
video playlist
- Hungary 🇭🇺 -
video playlist
- India
- video playlist
- Iran -
video playlist
- Israel 🇮🇱
- Italy -
video playlist
· Twitter
- Poland 🇵🇱
- video playlist
- Portugal
- Russia 🇷🇺 -
video playlist
· Twitter
- Singapore -
video playlist
- South Korea -
video playlist
- Spain
- video playlist
- Taiwan
- video playlist
- Turkey
- video playlist
· Twitter
- Ukraine
- video playlist
- World Regions
- Contrarian Views - Falling fertility is "no problem"
- Guardian: Falling total fertility rate should be welcomed, population expert says: Figures showing declining birth rates are ‘cause for celebration’, not alarm, 26 Dec 2019 - "Sarah Harper pointed out that artificial intelligence, migration, and a healthier old age, meant countries no longer needed booming populations to hold their own. “This idea that you need lots and lots of people to defend your country and to grow your country economically, that is really old thinking,” she said."
- World Economic Forum: Falling fertility rates in the US don't mean economic collapse. Here's why, 13 June 2018 - "America has nothing to worry about."
- World Economic Forum: The myth of an "ageing society", 29 May 2018
- The Hill: Decline in US birth rates shouldn't be viewed as a doomsday prophecy
- CityLab: Europe’s Capital Cities Keep Getting Richer and Younger, 11 Oct 2018
- The Lily: Yes, the U.S. birthrate fell. No, it’s not time to panic.: There are some logical explanations for the biggest population dip in decades, 22 May 2018
- MarketWatch: Here’s why retiring baby boomers won’t create a ‘stockmaggedon’ for millennials, 8 Mar 2018
- Incentive and Propaganda Programs - video playlists:
incentives
·: propaganda
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